Category: Currencies
-
EurUsd Weekly Outlook, March 25, 2024 – The Fed Fuels Market Fire
According to the Fed, there seem to be no major issues in managing inflation, even in a context of upwardly revised economic growth that still promises demand-side pressures. Powell believes there’s no need to tighten further, with the Dot Plots indicating three rate cuts for the current year. The dollar is holding its ground, confirming…
-
Weekly EUR/USD Outlook for March 11, 2024 – Navigating Rate Cuts and Economic Signals
Powell, speaking before Congress, confirmed what the markets wanted to hear. Rates will decrease over the course of 2024, although the pace will depend on inflation and its resilience. Meanwhile, the ECB keeps rates unchanged in the March meeting, and the euro strengthens above the key support levels of 1.08.
-
EurUsd Weekly Outlook for March 4, 2024 – Navigating the Tides of Central Bank Rhetoric and Market Optimism
Fed Rate Cuts, Robust Growth, and Political Dynamics Once upon a time, there were anticipated rate cuts promised by the Fed. With each passing week, expectations for a reduction in the cost of money have shrunk, and as of today, the market anticipates a cut of 75 basis points by the end of 2024, down…
-
EurUsd Weekly Outlook for February 26, 2024 – Navigating Through Low Growth, Rate Expectations, and Seasonal Trends
Few news are coming from the United States where the market is becoming more realistic about the evolution of monetary policy. Amid alternating statements from various central bankers, the market has acknowledged that there will be no reductions in the cost of money before summer. Meanwhile, in Europe, all growth estimates have been revised downwards,…
-
EurUsd Weekly Outlook for February 19, 2024 – Is the Trend Reversal Upon Us?
To see inflation with a 2 in front of it in America, we will have to wait a bit longer. The annual change in American consumer prices has negatively surprised analysts, even in the core figure stripped of volatile components. A rate cut in the United States becomes more distant, while it’s a current topic…
-
Weekly EurUsd Outlook for February 12, 2024 – Powell’s Caution and Europe’s Struggles Shape Markets
A Mixed Markets Outlook In a media interview, Powell took a cautious stance. We are convinced that the path back to 2% is underway, declared the Federal Reserve Chairman, but it’s better to be prudent given the recent and very positive results from the job market. Translating this into practical terms, even the rate cut…
-
EurUsd Weekly Outlook for February 5, 2024 – Fed Holds Rates Steady, Eyes on ECB for Spring Cut
The Fed holds firm on rates, promising markets that a cut will come but only when inflation has provided concrete signs of definitively converging towards 2%. In Europe, zero growth in the fourth quarter was confirmed, anticipating a rate cut in spring. EurUsd continues to press on the 1.08 supports.
-
EurUsd Weekly Outlook for January 29, 2024 – A Period of Calm Amidst ECB Steadiness & Market Anticipation
Trump continues his ride in the Republican primaries, which should lead him to be the candidate in the challenge against Biden. Markets remain calm in a data-scarce week with the ECB as the sole protagonist, yet offering few leads for investors. EurUsd reaches significant support levels, beyond which windows favorable to the American dollar would…
-
EurUsd Weekly Outlook for January 22, 2024 – Contrasting Economic Signals as Presidential Race Heats Up
As the race for the U.S. Presidential election in November 2024 begins with Trump’s return, polls show him gaining popularity, but the real economy is showing mixed signals. In Europe, inflation expectations are falling, while in America, consumer prices have stopped declining. Meanwhile, EurUsd remains trapped in a range that has brought the exchange rate…
-
EurUsd Weekly Outlook for January 15, 2024 – Balancing Key Supports and Resistances in a Mixed Economic Landscape
2024 starts with Market Uncertainty Amidst Inflation and Economic Divergence The year 2024 kicked off under a cloud of uncertainty for stock and currency markets. Excessive optimism about a quick inflation retreat (and hence a Fed rate cut) was dampened by recent U.S. labor market data, followed by the eagerly awaited December inflation figures. The…