Tag: Interest rates
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – March 31, 2025: Trump’s Tariffs and the Euro’s Test of Key Resistance
The day of liberation has finally arrived, and on April 2, Donald Trump will announce his vision for global trade, imposing tariffs on countries with trade surpluses with the United States. Central banks are currently standing by, awaiting news. EUR/USD is consolidating its positions after testing key resistance levels of 1.09/1.10.
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Weekly EUR/USD Outlook for March 3, 2025 –Navigating Stagflation and Shifting Market Dynamics
The Fed keeps interest rates unchanged but warns the markets that the economy will slow down, with inflation struggling to fall from current levels. There may be (perhaps) two more rate cuts in 2025, with Trump urging immediate action. Meanwhile, in Europe, new defense investment plans and the expansion of Germany’s budget bring optimism to…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook for February 17, 2025 – Inflation, Central Bank Policies, and Key Resistance Levels
Donald Trump continues to dominate the geopolitical stage with a strong attempt to bring Ukraine and Russia to the peace table. Paradoxically, Europe and the euro stand to benefit financially, with the German elections serving as the market mover of the month. Meanwhile, in the U.S., inflation rises to 3%, extinguishing any hopes of a…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, February 10, 2025 – Trump’s Tariff Maneuvers and Europe’s Economic Response
Trump follows through on his promise by imposing a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada, only to suspend it a few hours later to allow for negotiations and reach an acceptable solution. The markets were rattled but managed to recover the losses in subsequent sessions. EUR/USD once again confirms the strength of the 1.02 support…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook for January 27, 2025 – Trump’s Tariff Threats & Inflation Concerns
Trump is the new President of the United States and immediately announces a series of measures that will fuel US growth, inflation, and also create tensions with trade partners like Canada, Mexico, and Europe. The euro reacted well to the test of the 1.02 support level following Lagarde’s less dovish remarks. Pullback or something else?
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook – January 20, 2025: Parity in Sight as Dollar Strengthens Amid Global Economic Shifts
Trump is officially the new president of the United States, and now the market awaits clarity on the much-discussed protectionist measures. The forex market remains volatile, with the euro struggling to recover after better-than-expected U.S. inflation data. Meanwhile, in Germany, it is now certain that 2024 will be marked by another economic recession.
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Weekly EurUsd Outlook, January 13, 2025 – Trump’s Return and Dollar Strength Amid Euro Weakness
Trump now dominates the global political and economic stage on a daily basis. With his official inauguration imminent, we are about to grapple with real policy decisions. The American economy continues on its growth path, while Europe struggles. Inflationary pressures loom on the horizon, with tariffs potentially increasing price pressures. The dollar is benefiting from…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook, January 6, 2025 – Gas Crisis and Interest Rates Impacting the Euro
The gas war reignites tensions over energy prices in Europe and also puts pressure on the euro, whose performance is hindered by political concerns in key countries like France and Germany, as well as macroeconomic data that continues to offer little reassurance regarding recovery. Meanwhile, expectations grow for Trump’s inauguration at the White House.
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Weekly EUR/USD Outlook for December 16, 2024 – Inflation and ECB Rate Cuts Shape Market Sentiment
The two most important central banks in the world will close out 2024 with similarly intense rate cuts. The ECB has already announced its 25 basis point reduction, and the Fed will follow suit next week. However, the path for the new year appears divergent, which explains the strength of the dollar, which remains firmly…
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook for December 9, 2024 – European Crisis Deepens as U.S. Economy Strengthens
The European political and economic crisis is worsening. Following Germany, France may also face new elections after the collapse of the Barnier government, or Macron will need to try to form a new government. This crisis contrasts with a U.S. economy that is thriving, which of course strengthens the U.S. dollar. However, technically, we still…